Rapid Demand Growth Outpaced by New Supply in Texas

DOUG LEWIN | Source: Doug Lewin | Posted 08/06/2025

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EIA projects 14% electric demand growth in Texas in 2026; Texas now installing nearly two gigawatts of supply per month; 150% increase in gas plants in the queue; PUC reveals SB 6 implementation plans


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The Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects a remarkable 14% annual demand growth in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), with consumption expected to rise from approximately 400 terawatt-hours in 2021 to nearly 500 terawatt-hours by 2025. This growth rate, which has not been seen since the 1960s, is being met with an impressive increase in supply, as ERCOT synchronized an additional 1.9 gigawatts of capacity to the grid in July alone. The new supply consists of solar, storage, and wind energy, reflecting a significant acceleration in the pace of capacity additions in Texas.

In addition to the immediate supply increases, ERCOT has a substantial queue of over 430 gigawatts of additional capacity awaiting interconnection. This includes significant amounts of solar, battery storage, wind, and gas. The growth of renewable energy and gas capacity in Texas is unparalleled in the country, positioning ERCOT to effectively manage the anticipated demand surge. Furthermore, the Public Utility Commission (PUC) is actively working on several dockets related to Senate Bill 6, which aims to address various operational and regulatory challenges, including net metering for large loads and demand response programs for large users.



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