Grid stress and utility shifts: is geothermal ready?

Alexander Richter | Source: Think Geo Energy | Posted 06/23/2025

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Data center electricity demand is reshaping U.S. power markets. Could geothermal provide clean, firm capacity as utilities face rising stress?    


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The U.S. power sector is undergoing significant changes due to the rapid growth of AI-driven data centers, which are increasing electricity demand beyond grid capacity and challenging traditional utility models. A recent report by Wood Mackenzie highlights that over 130 GW of proposed data center capacity is in development, with expansion into less prepared regions like Pennsylvania and Indiana. Utilities are struggling to keep up with this demand, facing pressures to maintain grid reliability while navigating regulatory uncertainties. In response, some utilities are implementing new tariffs and faster planning, but gaps remain between data center needs and grid capabilities, raising concerns about system stability and infrastructure costs.

Geothermal energy, particularly enhanced geothermal systems (EGS), is gaining attention as a potential solution to meet this rising demand. A study suggests that geothermal could supply up to 64% of new load from data centers by the early 2030s, with the potential to reach 100% if data centers are located near geothermal resources. Despite its advantages, such as high capacity factors and the ability to operate independently of the grid, geothermal faces challenges including complex permitting processes and regulatory hurdles. The future of geothermal may hinge on whether data center companies will invest directly in power generation or continue relying on utility partnerships, which could create new opportunities for collaboration and innovation in the energy market.



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