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- 00:00:26Good morning, WMWG. This is Blake Holt with LCRA.
- 00:00:29Can I get a quick audio check?
- 00:00:36Good deal. Welcome to August meeting.
- Item 1 - Antitrust Admonition - Blake Holt00:00:39Before we get rolling, I'd like for Brittany to pull up the
- 00:00:42antitrust admonition and
- 00:00:48give you all a few seconds to review.
- 00:00:57All right, thanks for your attention to that. Brittany. If you wouldn't mind
- 00:01:01navigating back to the agenda, we're going to shuffle some items
- 00:01:05around today due to some scheduling conflicts, so we'll move
- 00:01:09Luis's presentations to the end of the agenda and
- Item 4 - Pricing Impacts of LDL Override Decisions made during 4/8 Eclipse - Cory Carswel00:01:13start with number four. There was a request at
- 00:01:17WMS for ERCOT to give some detail around price impacts
- 00:01:21for the low dispatch limit override instructions that were giving
- 00:01:25during the eclipse in April. Received word
- 00:01:29back from the ERCOT team that they're still working on this analysis and had some
- 00:01:33other priorities pop up. So we'll plan on keeping
- 00:01:36this on the agenda for a September discussion instead
- 00:01:40of today.
- 00:01:44Onto number five, NPRR1230.
- Item 5 - NPRR1230 Methodology for Setting Transmission Shadow Price Caps for an IROL in SCED - Monitoring - Blake Holt00:01:49The ERCOT board approved this NPRR at their August
- 00:01:53meeting, and I believe it's most likely going
- 00:01:56to be approved by the PUC in late September,
- 00:01:59which would set an effective date of October 1
- 00:02:02for the new methodology for the dynamics shadow price calculations
- 00:02:07at TAC. There was a recommendation for some regular
- 00:02:11monitoring of the effectiveness of the new methodology,
- 00:02:15and I believe this is something that ERCOT stated they could support.
- 00:02:20But the question for the group is, where should this discussion
- 00:02:24take place, WMWG or CMWG?
- 00:02:28The previous analysis that ERCOT presented consisted of
- 00:02:32a violation relief in megawatt hours, as well as an
- 00:02:36increase to the market solution in terms of dollars.
- 00:02:40I think this analysis will detail the effects
- 00:02:44of congestion management, and it might
- 00:02:47fit better at CMWG. But I wanted
- 00:02:50to open the floor up to the group and see if anyone else feels
- 00:02:54differently,
- 00:03:09not see anyone in the queue or the chat.
- 00:03:14So I'll bring that suggestion to WMS that
- 00:03:19CMWG should, should probably take this on. I don't know if anyone
- 00:03:23on the call from ERCOT has an opinion there of the type of
- 00:03:27analysis they may bring. Has anyone
- 00:03:30considered that yet?
- 00:03:35Brian, go ahead. Yeah, thanks, Blake.
- 00:03:39I think that makes sense as well. We've had
- 00:03:43a few things in front of us at the moment, so we don't have anything
- 00:03:47to share today. But I think the recommendation to
- 00:03:50bring this to CMWG makes sense to us
- 00:03:53as well. So we'll plan to look to.
- 00:03:57I'm not sure offhand when that next meeting is, but we'll look
- 00:04:00to have more information or at least an update on when we'll have
- 00:04:04more information on the impacts of
- 00:04:09this new NPRR, or I guess,
- 00:04:12the potential impacts of this NPRR.
- 00:04:16Thanks, Ryan. I appreciate it.
- 00:04:21All right, moving right along, number six on the agenda
- 00:04:25is NPRR1235, which is the DRRS NPRR.
- 00:04:30Since we've met last, ERCOT's filed
- 00:04:34some new comments for this NPRR and want to turn the floor
- 00:04:38over to Ryan again to discuss them.
- Item 6 - NPRR1235 Dispatchable Reliability Reserve Service - Next Steps - Ryan King00:04:43Thanks very much, Blake. So the purpose of this,
- 00:04:48these comments was more to just codify
- 00:04:52what we have been saying in various
- 00:04:55stakeholder workshops and discussions for the last little while.
- 00:04:59And that's the idea that we think it
- 00:05:03makes sense to look at DRRS
- 00:05:07in terms of a phase one NPRR,
- 00:05:10which kind of locks down the things that we feel
- 00:05:13fairly confident around to allow that to move forward.
- 00:05:17But we also understand the concerns that have been noted
- 00:05:21in comments from stakeholders that they
- 00:05:24want to see a firm commitment from ERCOT to
- 00:05:29have a phase two discussion sooner rather than later.
- 00:05:32So the substance of these comments is to just commit
- 00:05:37from ERCOT to have an
- 00:05:40NPRR out for discussion later this year, and that will focus
- 00:05:44specifically on the issues around, I think,
- 00:05:48mostly around the participation of energy storage resources in DRRS.
- 00:05:52So that's the substance of the commitment and the substance
- 00:05:56of the comments. I did want to make one clarification, if I
- 00:06:00might. This was discussed earlier this week,
- 00:06:03I believe, on Monday at the SAWG.
- 00:06:07I wanted to clarify that probably could have been clearer
- 00:06:11in that discussion in terms of the commitment from
- 00:06:15ERCOT as reflected in these comments. We're really
- 00:06:19committing to start that phase two discussion this year
- 00:06:22in the form of presentations in an NPRR.
- 00:06:26Practically speaking, we can't actually make firm guarantees
- 00:06:30one way or the other at this time around the implementation,
- 00:06:33because implementation is not just a function of,
- 00:06:37you know, what we're discussing now, but we actually have to understand what the completed
- 00:06:41NPRR design that we work with stakeholders to put
- 00:06:45together and the IA assessment are going to weigh in
- 00:06:48on when that can be implemented.
- 00:06:52That's not to say we wouldn't. We certainly would try
- 00:06:56as best we can to have,
- 00:06:59you know, multiple projects that work together implemented at the same time.
- 00:07:03I just wanted to make clear that we can't make that kind of finding
- 00:07:07commitment at this point because we simply don't have that work done.
- 00:07:10So my apologies if I created any unnecessary
- 00:07:14confusion on that part. I think the commitment at this point is
- 00:07:18really around having the NPRR out, getting the stakeholder input,
- 00:07:22and getting a design that we can include it for future implementation.
- 00:07:26So I do see some questions. I actually do want to
- 00:07:30go over the actual mprrtainous to highlight what's in it.
- 00:07:34But maybe I'll pause there just to see if there are questions and comments on
- 00:07:37the comments that are filed.
- 00:07:41Go ahead, Bill. Yeah, Ryan.
- 00:07:45I guess my question is really related to phase two.
- 00:07:49One is I get the approach.
- 00:07:54We support the approach and how
- 00:07:58you have the DRRS product structured because it.
- 00:08:01It's clearly designed to meet the statutory requirement
- 00:08:05to reduce RUC, which is critical for this product
- 00:08:08to do. And I also appreciate that
- 00:08:12we'll be talking about phase two sooner rather than later,
- 00:08:15which I think is important. That's definitely a role here for ESRS.
- 00:08:20I think that the challenge there that we will be looking for
- 00:08:23ERCOT to do is to bring
- 00:08:29forward a design where it's clear that
- 00:08:32ESR capacity or unused state of charge will be considered
- 00:08:36in the RUC engine so that it can also meet the goal of
- 00:08:40reducing future RUC dispatch.
- 00:08:43When in phase two, ESRs are considered in the DRRS product,
- 00:08:46that is critical for this product. That is why it was created.
- 00:08:50So to make sure that it's on equal footing with thermal resources,
- 00:08:54ESRs would need to be considered in the RUC engine as well, in any available
- 00:08:57dispatchable capacity that they could provide, given the four hour
- 00:09:01requirement, should be included and eligible for RUC.
- 00:09:05That way, ESRs can sell DRRS and be treated the
- 00:09:08same as thermal resources and would reduce future RUC instructions.
- 00:09:12I think we meet those objectives, then,
- 00:09:15you know, phase two should proceed as quickly as possible.
- 00:09:18So thank you.
- 00:09:23Yes, thank you, Bill.
- 00:09:26I don't want to say how this
- 00:09:29would be done, but I will take the point that it will
- 00:09:33need to be one consideration among many as we talk
- 00:09:36about phase two. So thank you for that.
- 00:09:41Next in the queue is Michael. Yeah. Thank you.
- 00:09:45Michael Jewell, on behalf of the joint commenters that filed additional
- 00:09:49set of comments with regard to this two phase approach.
- 00:09:53And, you know, first off, Ryan, I really appreciated the
- 00:09:56commitment that was expressed on Monday and
- 00:10:01again today with regard to filing an NPRR before the end of
- 00:10:052024.
- 00:10:08Very disappointed to hear the backing off of
- 00:10:12starting DRRS without ESRs being eligible to participate.
- 00:10:17You know, pardon me, Michael. I didn't actually say
- 00:10:21that we wouldn't. I just said that we can't make a guarantee one
- 00:10:25way or the other. No, I appreciate that clarification. I want to
- 00:10:28make sure that's clear. Thank you. Yeah. And I think that the
- 00:10:32frustration and the concern is, as we, you know, as we've demonstrated in
- 00:10:35the comments, is that the legislative intent is clear that esrs
- 00:10:39were intended to be able to participate. And so that's part
- 00:10:43of implementing the legislation. Is that as well?
- 00:10:46So that's what we are concerned about.
- 00:10:49The. You know, I think with, with Bill's comment,
- 00:10:53my understanding is that the capacity
- 00:10:57available from an ESR is
- 00:11:01considered by the rec engine now in determining whether
- 00:11:05to dispatch a RUC unit. Is that
- 00:11:08correct?
- 00:11:13I thought that was part of the implementation of
- 00:11:16NPRR1186.
- 00:11:21Yes, that's my understanding that it is.
- 00:11:24I think this. I think Bill's question was more
- 00:11:28around the. If an ESR is providing
- 00:11:31DRRS, how that would be considered.
- 00:11:36Yeah. And I. Obviously, if it's. If a DSR is consider.
- 00:11:40Is providing DRRS, it would need to be considered
- 00:11:44cop type of thing. And those, those type of.
- 00:11:50I'm sorry. No, I was just going to say, I don't
- 00:11:53want to speak for belt. So he might have a comment after. Yeah, no,
- 00:11:57you guys got it. That was. That was my point.
- 00:12:00ESR is providing DRRS should. Their available capacity should
- 00:12:04be included in the RUC engine, probably based on
- 00:12:08the projected state of charge submitted in the cop, so that it meets the
- 00:12:11same objective of reducing future RUC. So I think
- 00:12:15we're all talking about the same thing. I would like to see how ERCOT plans
- 00:12:18to do that. Yeah, Bill and I agree. I think we are talking about
- 00:12:22the same thing. So that makes sense. And I think
- 00:12:25that there was a discussion, I guess, a week ago today with
- 00:12:29regard to the implementation of OBDRR040,
- 00:12:33where ERCOT has developed a process for online
- 00:12:38CLRs being eligible to, being able to provide
- 00:12:42offline, nonspan and having worked through that process.
- 00:12:45And that was one of the things that we thought that what ERCOT
- 00:12:49has done there probably is very analogous to what would
- 00:12:52need to be thought about with regard to this. But we continue to.
- 00:12:57Our goal is to see about getting ESRs implemented
- 00:13:01in DRRS consistent with the legislative intent of the
- 00:13:06statute. And so that was the purpose of the comments
- 00:13:09that we filed, was to move forward on that. Given the fact that
- 00:13:13DIRS is not going to be implemented, it's not intended to
- 00:13:17be implemented until after the implementation of real time co optimization,
- 00:13:21it just feels like there should be enough time to be able to wrap
- 00:13:24this all up at one time. And that's what we were trying to do.
- 00:13:31Thank you very much for that, Michael. And I just want to be.
- 00:13:35Maybe, I want to be just clear that
- 00:13:39I don't see any. This is something that we would look at as
- 00:13:43part of when we would do the implementation.
- 00:13:46My point of clarification was just saying that
- 00:13:50at this point, I couldn't be definitive because I would be making
- 00:13:54a, you know, taking a position on something that's not known
- 00:13:58yet. So I do. I do take the point, and that's
- 00:14:01why I kind of wanted to say one way or the other is where we
- 00:14:05are at this point. But certainly the, the questions around what
- 00:14:10is required are very important. So I just wanted to kind of note
- 00:14:16your comment. Yeah, no, I appreciate that. I think
- 00:14:19the other thing I'd like to emphasize, we've got four hour batteries coming into the
- 00:14:22market today and very soon.
- 00:14:27And so the market signals matter. And so
- 00:14:30market signals in support of longer duration batteries
- 00:14:34coming to the market is a good thing because especially
- 00:14:38with the legislative intent, I think it's been having the effect that
- 00:14:42that was desired.
- 00:14:51Thanks for the discussion, everyone. I'm seeing an empty queue.
- 00:14:57I guess just from the LCRA's perspective,
- 00:15:01we're supportive of what can be included in
- 00:15:04phase one. If there is a possibility of battery
- 00:15:08inclusion, we're supportive of that, but also appreciate the,
- 00:15:11the complexity that that would require. So I
- 00:15:15guess before we talk about next steps from
- 00:15:19your perspective, Ryan, I see that Andrew Reimers has a question in
- 00:15:22the queue. Andrew, go ahead. Hey, guys,
- 00:15:25I was just curious. I got in a little late, so forgive me if I'm
- 00:15:28asking you to repeat yourself, what the kind of next step this is as far
- 00:15:33as it making its way through the
- 00:15:36stakeholder process? Is this going to be at PRS in a couple weeks?
- 00:15:44So NPRR1235,
- 00:15:48I believe, is tabled at PRS.
- 00:15:54PRS, pardon me?
- 00:15:57So it's conceivable that it could come up. But right now,
- 00:16:00I think we're trying to work it through the stakeholder
- 00:16:04process, which is. But I do want to kind of highlight some,
- 00:16:07some points around 1235 as it is.
- 00:16:11But I can wait until the kind
- 00:16:14of queue is clear.
- 00:16:18Yeah, I was just going to follow up on that question real fast.
- 00:16:22Luminant requested that 1235 remain tabled
- 00:16:25at SAWG.
- 00:16:30Okay, thank you for that clarification.
- 00:16:40So I guess we're to the point of what does WMS
- 00:16:44want to recommend? Would we like to still keep this on the table to
- 00:16:48discuss, you know, anything else that comes up out
- 00:16:52of the, the SAWG discussions or what
- 00:16:56do folks in the group feel like our next steps?
- 00:17:00Blake, if I may, there are a
- 00:17:03couple of things in 1235 as proposed
- 00:17:07that I actually just wanted to do a quick check
- 00:17:11with stakeholders because understandably,
- 00:17:15a lot of the discussion on this NPRR has been
- 00:17:19about what's not in this NPRR. But I.
- 00:17:22There are a. Just two or three things that I
- 00:17:26wanted to maybe draw the working group's attention to
- 00:17:30just to make sure maybe they haven't been missed or understood
- 00:17:36before we get into the kind of next steps,
- 00:17:40if that's okay. Absolutely. Please go ahead. Rent.
- 00:17:43Okay, so is this the.
- 00:17:46Okay, I think this is the. The NPRR1235
- 00:17:50is drafted.
- 00:17:54If you can go to.
- 00:17:57I think it's in the gray box. Section four,
- 00:18:014.1.12.
- 00:18:29Sorry, I know it's a bit of a long NPRR.
- 00:18:35There we are. Oh, yeah. Okay. So this
- 00:18:39section really covers the ancillary
- 00:18:42service demand curve that would be applied for DRRS in
- 00:18:46the day ahead market. So it's only applicable to the
- 00:18:49day ahead market. But if you scroll down just a little bit further.
- 00:19:01There we are, number eight. Just note
- 00:19:05that we had proposed a value of basically a
- 00:19:09constant value equal to $150 per
- 00:19:12megawatt hour. I think at the time, this seemed to
- 00:19:16put it below what would be expected to be the lowest starting
- 00:19:20point for Non-Spin.
- 00:19:23But I just wanted to make sure that people saw that
- 00:19:27and if they had any questions around the
- 00:19:31ASDC as proposed.
- 00:19:36Bill, you want to ask your question? Yeah, thanks.
- 00:19:39Um, I don't have a problem with the value, Ryan. I'm just.
- 00:19:44This is replacing the price floor. Didn't we. We talked about having a
- 00:19:47price floor for this at some point. Right. And this would pretty much act in
- 00:19:53a similar way. I don't think there's a price floor in here.
- 00:19:56Right. And 1235, there is no price floor. So this is only
- 00:20:00talking about the day head market. Okay.
- 00:20:03So there's not a real time and there is. And that was the other
- 00:20:07thing, actually, that I. Second of three things I wanted to note
- 00:20:11is that when these resources are deployed
- 00:20:14to provide DRRS, there is no price floor associated with this
- 00:20:18capacity. It is subject to
- 00:20:22the reliability deployment price adder.
- 00:20:24It's in some ways akin to the deployment of
- 00:20:28offline Non-Spin today. Okay, thanks.
- 00:20:37Steve Reedy, do you have a question?
- 00:20:42Yeah, yeah, thanks. When it.
- 00:20:47I should look it up myself when it's in the
- 00:20:50RDPA. How is that deployed capacity
- 00:20:54factored into the RDPA, Ryan?
- 00:21:00I think if we go to 6.57.3,
- 00:21:02.1 that
- 00:21:09could be the right. If that's the right section,
- 00:21:30I'm just going to look on my own here while looking that
- 00:21:52section open now.
- 00:21:57Oh, I know this is an unwieldy one, but I think that's the section and
- 00:22:00then if it. If you go to that 6.573.1,
- 00:22:07that should note it. And then there's a section
- 00:22:11about how.
- 00:22:25Blake, can I hop for just one? Make one quick
- 00:22:28suggestion? Yes, sir. Yeah,
- 00:22:31Ryan? My recollection is it goes into the RDPA just like any
- 00:22:35other resource that's dispatched as a RUC unit.
- 00:22:38Yes. I don't recall the citation,
- 00:22:42though. Oh,
- 00:22:45so it acts just like RUC.
- 00:22:52Perfect. Yeah. And if you just scroll down a little bit, you should
- 00:22:56see that we've added a section ERCOT directed deployment.
- 00:23:00And then in subsection.
- 00:23:04Yeah. Section two, we've talked about.
- 00:23:07I think that that accords with what Michael just said.
- 00:23:12Oh, okay. So you set the LSL to
- 00:23:16zero or the LDL to zero, and the.
- 00:23:21But unlike RUC, there's not going to be the offer
- 00:23:25floor. So what'll happen is the.
- 00:23:31The LDL energy won't be shoved in as price
- 00:23:35taking. It'll just be put in as whatever the
- 00:23:39EOC is for those levels. Is that correct?
- 00:23:44Okay, thanks.
- 00:23:49Thank you. And then the final
- 00:23:52section. And apologies, Brittany.
- 00:23:56I'm moving around 5.5.2.
- 00:24:05Yep. Oh, you're right there.
- 00:24:13It's 5.5.2,
- 00:24:15subsections 17 and 18.
- 00:24:25Perfect. Yes. So I also just wanted to
- 00:24:28draw attention to that value, if you
- 00:24:32scroll up just a little bit. Perfect. Thank you.
- 00:24:35That we had to make DRRS
- 00:24:39appear cheaper in
- 00:24:42the RUC engine, which, as Bill mentioned,
- 00:24:45was an important piece of the statutory
- 00:24:50requirement. We had proposed a scaling
- 00:24:54factor of 20%, I believe,
- 00:24:58in some historical analysis, that seemed to be a sweet spot in
- 00:25:02terms of not making it appear too cheap, but getting
- 00:25:07kind of a reasonable outcome. So, again,
- 00:25:10this was a value that we have included for some time, but because
- 00:25:14it hasn't been discussed for a while, I just wanted to draw people's
- 00:25:17attention to that as well.
- 00:25:23Thanks, Ryan. Michael, did you get your question answered earlier,
- 00:25:27or were you just jumping in for the comment? Yeah, I was
- 00:25:30just trying to help on the inclusion in the RDPA.
- 00:25:33So that was it. Thank you. Got you. Thank you, sir.
- 00:25:36Shane Thomas, do you have a question? I did. Thanks,
- 00:25:40Blake. My question is on
- 00:25:44self deployment for DRRS. Has that been discussed yet? Was that set
- 00:25:48in this NPRR self
- 00:25:55deployment, or, like, were they able to go self commit
- 00:25:58themselves and jump in the market, or they have to set aside on DRRS
- 00:26:03until deployed. It's an offline only,
- 00:26:07so they can't really self. Well, yeah, like, online,
- 00:26:11offline, Non-Spin can commit. That's what it has. The offer floor for.
- 00:26:14Right.
- 00:26:17Yeah. There's no offer floor associated,
- 00:26:20but there's no, like, standing offer.
- 00:26:23Okay. So whatever capacity
- 00:26:27is committed to this product will sit on the sideline until it's deployed.
- 00:26:32That's correct.
- 00:26:35Thanks for that clarification.
- 00:26:43All right, Ryan, we have an empty queue.
- 00:26:46Okay. Well, I appreciate everyone's time on
- 00:26:49this and the discussion on this, but that's. That's all for me.
- 00:26:56Thank you, sir. I guess. Are there any strong feelings from
- 00:27:00the group of endorsement or
- 00:27:04wanting to keep this on the table for further discussion?
- 00:27:15Mister Barnes, is the. Is the preference from
- 00:27:19ERCOT to have phase two in a new NPRR?
- 00:27:23I think that's. Is that the case?
- 00:27:26Yes. Bell, that that's what we had proposed to do, is that we were
- 00:27:30hoping, on the basis of saying yes, we will have another
- 00:27:33NPRR. On the basis of that commitment, we could allow
- 00:27:371235 to move forward.
- 00:27:41Okay. I mean, we support that direction.
- 00:27:45I understand Michael's clients might want to
- 00:27:49see the language incorporated in 1235, though. But I think getting the
- 00:27:53kind of bones in place for this product through this NPRR
- 00:27:56makes sense. And following on with a separate NPRR
- 00:28:00for phase two, because I think there's some. There's going to be some
- 00:28:04different details we have to work out there that might take some time,
- 00:28:07particularly given how RTC is going to look. But I'm
- 00:28:13not sure if we can get consensus with
- 00:28:17Michael's folks on this, but NRG is comfortable moving
- 00:28:21this forward.
- 00:28:25Thanks, Bill. From LCRA's perspective, we're in
- 00:28:28the same boat. Appreciate the complexity and
- 00:28:32realize it might benefit from some additional discussion.
- 00:28:36So we're in the same spot. I do see Michael's jumped in
- 00:28:40the queue. Michael. Yeah. Blake, thank you.
- 00:28:43And like Bill said, obviously our perspective is
- 00:28:47we'd love to see ESR is rolled in in
- 00:28:51the context of this as we're moving forward.
- 00:28:55So just fulfill us right in that regard. Thank you.
- 00:29:02Thanks for that, Michael. I'll make
- 00:29:05sure to communicate the discussion that we heard today and then
- 00:29:09also the points of view that we heard from y'all as well. Back to
- 00:29:12WMS. Any last thoughts before we
- 00:29:16move on?
- 00:29:21All right, thank you for that discussion.
- 00:29:28So, Brittany, you want to go ahead and ask your question?
- 00:29:40Brittany, if you're speaking, we can't hear you.
- 00:29:49All right, I'll read the chat. Brittany's asking if we're recommending that WMS endorse
- 00:29:541235 as submitted or as amended with the comments or
- 00:29:57recommending it stay tabled. My current read of the room
- 00:30:01is there's some support for
- 00:30:05moving forward with ERCOT's
- 00:30:09version, original version, and with the commitment
- 00:30:13for the phase two and their recent comments, or as much
- 00:30:17of a commitment as that is. And then there's also, you know,
- 00:30:23a portion of folks would, would like to see
- 00:30:26esrs included in the first phase. I don't think that we have
- 00:30:30consensus from the group. So my thoughts
- 00:30:34were to just communicate that to WMS,
- 00:30:41communicate the split. Am I reading the room correctly?
- 00:30:47All right. Think I satisfied Brittany?
- 00:30:51It sounds. Sounds reasonable, Blake. Okay, thanks, Bill.
- 00:30:59All right, so next item up for business is
- 00:31:02NPRR1229, the real time
- 00:31:06CMP energy payment. NPRR from STEC.
- 00:31:11Just to remind the group, last month, Ino and
- 00:31:15the ERCOT team submitted a list of policy
- 00:31:18questions that they needed market feedback on before
- 00:31:21making any updates to the submitted NPRR.
- 00:31:26Brittany, I'm curious if you have the ability to pull those up.
- 00:31:31They may have been posted on the last WMWG
- 00:31:34meeting page.
- 00:31:39And then while we're getting those pulled up,
- 00:31:43I'd like to turn the floor over to Ino if he's available to talk
- 00:31:47about what he's heard or if he's gotten any feedback from the group.
- 00:31:51Good morning. Can you hear me? Yes, sir, loud and clear. Great.
- 00:31:55Thank you.
- Item 7 - NPRR1229 RTM CMP Energy Payment - Policy Questions - Ino Gonzalez00:31:59We have only received comments from staff
- 00:32:04and the questions that we posted. I want to say upfront
- 00:32:08that ERCOT is ready to help to
- 00:32:11support staff and market participants in developing
- 00:32:17an NPRR, the needs of the market.
- 00:32:20That is for sure. Unfortunately, the NPRR itself has written,
- 00:32:25we cannot implement. And there's also some
- 00:32:29significant policy decisions that need to be made. And that was the purpose
- 00:32:32of the, of the questions.
- 00:32:35Since that time, I received comments
- 00:32:39from stack, and in fact, I just
- 00:32:43a couple minutes ago, I noticed that Lucas
- 00:32:47sent me a draft of NPRR with
- 00:32:51some changes. And I just noticed that a couple minutes ago, he sent out.
- 00:32:54He sent them out yesterday. Having said that,
- 00:32:59one of the policy questions that we had was, do we
- 00:33:02pay for repair costs or as well as capital expenditures?
- 00:33:06Meaning are we going to pay for a new turbine? For example,
- 00:33:11Stack made it clear that the intent was to pay for repairs.
- 00:33:14So we gave some language to stag to clarify
- 00:33:18that in the NPRR. Another thing
- 00:33:22that we have, policy question is on the last opportunity,
- 00:33:26do we pay lost opportunity all
- 00:33:29the time during the outage period, which could be
- 00:33:33days, weeks, or months for that matter.
- 00:33:37And there's also the NPRR was nothing clear.
- 00:33:41Do we pay lost opportunity at the same time we pay for bilateral
- 00:33:45contracts. Stack made it clear that if
- 00:33:49they pay for any bilateral contracts, such as HDL override,
- 00:33:53then we don't pay for loss opportunity and vice versa. That point
- 00:33:57was not made clear to us in the NPRR,
- 00:34:00so stack is trying to provide clarification to that end.
- 00:34:04However, they still question the policy on whether
- 00:34:08we paid for lost opportunity, and we're hoping that
- 00:34:11stakeholders will address those policy questions.
- 00:34:15So, even if we help staff clarify the NPRR,
- 00:34:18it doesn't necessarily mean that the policy questions have been
- 00:34:22addressed or that ERCOT agrees you those policy questions.
- 00:34:27As an example,
- 00:34:29if a generator cannot
- 00:34:33go offline because it's
- 00:34:37going to cost a unit to trip offline,
- 00:34:41and can the generator say to ERCOT,
- 00:34:45no, don't trip me offline because it's going to cost
- 00:34:48money to repair. So, again, this is several questions
- 00:34:52that need to be addressed, and I think it has to be addressed by
- 00:34:56the whole body, not just by ERCOT or stack discussing
- 00:35:01this internally.
- 00:35:06Thanks, Eno. Just some thoughts from us.
- 00:35:11We cracked open the document and took a look, but just had some more general
- 00:35:14questions for ERCOT and for stack before
- 00:35:19we could get any more detail on these questions.
- 00:35:23So I believe when this was introduced, maybe at PRS,
- 00:35:27it sounded like this CMP situation
- 00:35:31that STEC was in was perhaps optional.
- 00:35:35Did they have a. And so we were curious, did they have a chance to
- 00:35:38agree to or to oppose the CMP? And then
- 00:35:42additionally, we were wondering if ERCOT and Stack
- 00:35:46could improve communication around
- 00:35:49this issue to perhaps provide enough advance notice that
- 00:35:53this was going to come up to provide a. Maybe a hedging opportunity
- 00:35:58in some way. So, those are just some general questions
- 00:36:01that we have. And, you know, I see. I see
- 00:36:05Steve and Bill are in the queue, but I'd like to go ahead and jump
- 00:36:08ahead to Lucas and maybe Freddie if. If their
- 00:36:12responses are directly related to the questions
- 00:36:16I asked. Lucas, go ahead.
- 00:36:21Hey, Blake. Yeah. So,
- 00:36:25I guess, kind of in order the
- 00:36:28ability to speak to ERCOT ahead
- 00:36:32of time and come to some form of agreement on the CMP.
- 00:36:38It was discussed after last
- 00:36:42year's experience on implementing
- 00:36:47a CMP, but given the situation,
- 00:36:52there hasn't been any agreement on the.
- 00:36:55On a procedure or practice,
- 00:36:59and then there has been multiple
- 00:37:04looks, methods reviewed
- 00:37:08for, as an
- 00:37:11option, besides the particular procedure
- 00:37:17that ERCOT has chosen.
- 00:37:21But I don't believe any of those provide the same,
- 00:37:25you know, level reliability or what ERCOT's seeking
- 00:37:30there. So I know Freddie has way more insight
- 00:37:36on that, on that part. So he. He can probably talk to what.
- 00:37:41What was reviewed.
- 00:37:45All right, thanks, Lucas? Yeah. Blake. Yeah, and just to respond to
- 00:37:49your question, so, normally, when. When we create these
- 00:37:52cmps. Therefore, some projected
- 00:37:56reliability issue that we're expecting to see in
- 00:38:00some cases where we're in real time and
- 00:38:04there is some reliability, you know, concern the
- 00:38:08operators will make, give an operating instruction for
- 00:38:13some sort of switching if that's, if that's the case.
- 00:38:17And so in this case, the operator did do that,
- 00:38:20there was a operational risk. They gave an operating
- 00:38:24instruction, and that helped reduce the
- 00:38:30reliability risk. We did after the fact.
- 00:38:34In those cases, after the fact, we go in and try to
- 00:38:38document it. We share the CMP documentation
- 00:38:41with the affected entities and then go from there.
- 00:38:46In this case, as Lucas mentioned, there was some concerns
- 00:38:50on his end, but the
- 00:38:54control room does still have the ability to
- 00:38:58give an operating instruction. In this case,
- 00:39:02it is a fairly significant operational risk.
- 00:39:05And if needed, they would give that operating instruction.
- 00:39:13And then that operating instruction, Freddie, is not,
- 00:39:16is not an optional thing.
- 00:39:19It's, y'all are expected stack
- 00:39:22to comply with that in that situation and when it comes up in real
- 00:39:26time, correct? Yeah.
- 00:39:29And I will say in most cases,
- 00:39:33you know, that's something we try to work through or look for a
- 00:39:38different option if there is some sort of disagreement
- 00:39:42there. But in this case, there are not very many options
- 00:39:46and the reliability risk is fairly
- 00:39:50significant.
- 00:39:55Thank you. You know, I'm a little sympathetic if
- 00:40:00the instruction is not optional. However,
- 00:40:04you know, I do, we do have some concerns about guardrails
- 00:40:08in this situation. And, you know, Ino mentioned some of the,
- 00:40:12you know, length of, length of outage and
- 00:40:15some of the line items that are included in the original NPRR that I
- 00:40:19think would need to be worked through. I don't think we're in a position to
- 00:40:23give suggestions right now, but y'all
- 00:40:27laying out the situation for me has been helpful. I'd like
- 00:40:31to move forward in the queue to Steve, please go ahead.
- 00:40:35Yeah, just hearing
- 00:40:39Ino list off the policy issues
- 00:40:42and with the discussion that is being held at the
- 00:40:46commission at. And I see,
- 00:40:49and I'm not, don't worry, I'm not asking for anyone from the PUC
- 00:40:53to weigh in now, but I think that this might be an interesting
- 00:40:57test case to discuss at the next TAC
- 00:41:00meeting as to whether this
- 00:41:04level of policy decision rises to PUC
- 00:41:09consideration or not. Thanks,
- 00:41:14Steve. I think that's a great suggestion. And there's some
- 00:41:18detail that we can include in our communication up to WMS
- 00:41:22to also get them to weigh in. So thank you for that,
- 00:41:27Austin. So I
- 00:41:31wanted to try to add some,
- 00:41:35my thoughts to your question earlier, Blake, and I hope I get this right.
- 00:41:39Um, so your question about,
- 00:41:42you know, is this is the situation. How much. How much control
- 00:41:46over the situation does the affected QSE have?
- 00:41:50And I could, I think you kind of see it somewhat there under two a
- 00:41:53and other concerns. It's my understanding that maybe
- 00:41:57in some cases, the, the QSE doesn't have
- 00:42:00much of a choice for the situation, but in others, the way the CMP gets
- 00:42:03set up could even be requested or influenced by the
- 00:42:08affected resource and
- 00:42:11that there could even be some financial benefit to that arrangement
- 00:42:16until, you know, some sort of. Some sort of kind of aggregating benefit
- 00:42:20until the triggering, you know, until the situation this NPRR
- 00:42:24setup took to address
- 00:42:28gets triggered. So there
- 00:42:32may be a finer split. You know, there may have to be some sort of
- 00:42:35language in this NPRR to address that. You know, like if, if you're a victim,
- 00:42:40maybe you can get compensation. If you're, you know, maybe if
- 00:42:43you had a hand in this and maybe you benefited from it, maybe that's a
- 00:42:47different route. And I don't really have the answers there. And this, there has been
- 00:42:50some work on this NPRR since that was initially,
- 00:42:53I initially understood that point. So maybe, maybe we've
- 00:42:57taken some of that benefit away. But I just wanted to point that out,
- 00:43:00that that was a really difficult thing to wrestle with.
- 00:43:04For me, anyways, is trying to balance the benefit
- 00:43:08against the cost because I don't think
- 00:43:12we can recalculate the benefit on
- 00:43:15our end.
- 00:43:20Thanks, Austin. Eno, please go ahead.
- 00:43:25Yes, I just want to agree with Steve's proposal.
- 00:43:29I think regardless whether
- 00:43:33or not we help stack clarify
- 00:43:37the points on the NPRR, this is definitely a
- 00:43:41significant policy impact to the market.
- 00:43:45Could be a significant impact to the market that needs to be
- 00:43:49rise to the level of TAC and maybe
- 00:43:52PUCT. I agree with that.
- 00:43:55I mean, even though even we're just focusing on repair
- 00:43:59costs. So let me give you an example.
- 00:44:02If a unit trips offline and
- 00:44:07damages the generator shaft and
- 00:44:12then requires repair, welding or whatever, you're talking millions,
- 00:44:16you're not talking thousands. And so it may be
- 00:44:20a repair cost, but those costs
- 00:44:23could be significant. And I'm not suggesting that
- 00:44:27stack or others should not recover those costs, but I believe
- 00:44:32the impact to the market to be significant and
- 00:44:36therefore needs to have a level of visibility
- 00:44:41at the highest possible place.
- 00:44:46And what I don't want is for market
- 00:44:50participants to believe that just because we helped stack
- 00:44:55clarify the NPRR that we are, the archive is
- 00:44:58in support or in agreement with the concepts within the NPRR.
- 00:45:04Thanks.
- 00:45:08Thanks. You know, in my opinion, y'all, y'all have been clear throughout this
- 00:45:12process, but I appreciate your comments.
- 00:45:16I don't see anyone else in the queue. And actually,
- 00:45:19Lucas, please go ahead.
- 00:45:25Yeah, I was just going to echo what Ino said earlier.
- 00:45:29I've been working with folks at ERCOT and trying to
- 00:45:34input some of the guardrails that I know market
- 00:45:38participants have mentioned in other places.
- 00:45:41Open endedness and. And such.
- 00:45:44We're just, you know, we're focused on fixing
- 00:45:48the harm that could. That could come from something
- 00:45:53that. That we don't have an option on and
- 00:45:57understand that it can touch many
- 00:46:03things that, you know, has. Has brought
- 00:46:06up. Just looking for a solution here and
- 00:46:13we'll continue to work on it so we can get something that's.
- 00:46:17That's workable. Thank you all.
- 00:46:21Thank you, Lucas. Appreciate you bringing this to light, and we'll
- 00:46:25make sure to communicate what we've heard up the chain.
- 00:46:29And thanks for everyone's suggestions today.
- 00:46:36All right, the next item on the agenda is
- 00:46:40NPRR1238, the voluntary registration
- 00:46:44of loads with curtailable load capabilities.
- 00:46:48And as a reminder, this NPRR
- 00:46:52creates a load type that requires a specific registration where
- 00:46:57the load would agree to curtail in response to an ERCOT instruction.
- 00:47:01And these instructions would occur prior to EEA.
- 00:47:06It should be noted that these loads are not considered load resources
- 00:47:11as it's currently drafted. No, as capacity would
- 00:47:15be carried on them and their deployment will be accounted for
- 00:47:19in the reliability deployment price adder process.
- 00:47:23So, Katie Rich brought up a concern that
- 00:47:26she'd like to address with the group around ORDC implications.
- 00:47:30So, Katie, are you available? Yeah, Blake,
- Item 8 - NPRR1238 Voluntary Registration of Loads with Curtailable Load Capabilities - ORDC Implications - Katie Rich00:47:34thanks for laying that out. I do know that Jodan's on the
- 00:47:38line as well. So, Jodian, was there anything else that you wanted the
- 00:47:42group to know about this before I go into the reason for
- 00:47:45the referral? I appreciate
- 00:47:48that, Katie. Yeah, this is Jodan from golden spread. And,
- 00:47:51you know, currently, I think. I think Blake did a great job to get us
- 00:47:54started for the conversation. I'll be well, welcome to take any questions, if anybody
- 00:47:58has any questions beyond the kind of brief summary
- 00:48:01he gave. But, yeah, let's go ahead and roll, unless anyone else
- 00:48:05has questions on it. Okay, thanks,
- 00:48:08shodia. So thanks for letting this
- 00:48:12item be discussed here.
- 00:48:15We brought this issue to OWG to talk about the deployment
- 00:48:19trigger, but that also ties into the likely market prices
- 00:48:23at the time these loads are called upon. And the
- 00:48:27NPRR partially addresses the price formation issue
- 00:48:31by the gray box language. And Brittany, if you want to scroll down to
- 00:48:35six, five.
- 00:48:387.31. Right there. And then if
- 00:48:41you scroll on down, I believe one of the last paragraphs has these
- 00:48:46becls added. Yeah, right.
- 00:48:49Okay. That's good. So that language
- 00:48:54includes the ECL deployments and the termination of the RDPA.
- 00:48:58And then later on, it goes on to state how it's going
- 00:49:01to be calculated, which is great.
- 00:49:05But since we're talking about the deployment of eecls being
- 00:49:09tied to a minimum contingency level, it kind of implicates
- 00:49:12the ORDC as well. So the
- 00:49:16question becomes, how do we determine the impact to this adder,
- 00:49:19and is it something that can be incorporated into this NPRR?
- 00:49:24So that's what I wanted to set up for the group to talk about today.
- 00:49:35Bob, please go ahead. Yeah, Katie, I mean,
- 00:49:39the idea behind this is when ERCOT pulls
- 00:49:42the trigger, there should be no response.
- 00:49:47There should be no response because these guys should have
- 00:49:51already shed before then.
- 00:49:54So have you considered the fact that we're likely to
- 00:49:57have no response from this
- 00:50:02early curtailment,
- 00:50:09Bob? I mean, as someone that was behind kind of
- 00:50:13putting an original idea together,
- 00:50:16I understood that, you know, we're going to probably have some price
- 00:50:19responsive loads that may not be there, but in the event that they
- 00:50:23are there, I think that's why they did take it into account in the
- 00:50:27RDPA. But I'm just saying, are there other adders like the ORDC that
- 00:50:30also should take this into account in
- 00:50:34the event that there are a, you know, some amount of megawatts
- 00:50:37that we still shed? I think that's why they laid out
- 00:50:41all of the blocks and all of those things. So it is a, you know,
- 00:50:45possibility there won't be that many megawatts that are shed,
- 00:50:48but in the, in the case that there are. Just want to make
- 00:50:52sure that we know how to account for them.
- 00:50:55Yeah, you know, I don't think
- 00:50:59I care what the adder is here because I don't think there's going
- 00:51:02to be any response because they
- 00:51:05should have long before that. So I think if we're going to help
- 00:51:10this response somehow, we need to do
- 00:51:14it on a megawatt hour, on a megawatt
- 00:51:17basis or something, because I'm
- 00:51:20not sure at an additional adder
- 00:51:23for something that's not going to result in any megawatts
- 00:51:27moving. Makes a lot of sense, but I'm fully
- 00:51:31supportive of prices being near the cap when this
- 00:51:34stuff is deployed.
- 00:51:38All right, I'll stop.
- 00:51:42Hey, this is Blake with LCRA.
- 00:51:46So, Katie, I'm trying to understand what
- 00:51:50you're proposing. Are you proposing
- 00:51:53that this be accounted for in the ORDC
- 00:51:58capacity calculations as well.
- 00:52:02Yeah, I mean, that's what I'm thinking is that it's going to have,
- 00:52:05if it has an impact on the RDPA, it's going to have an impact on
- 00:52:08the ORDC as well. And so
- 00:52:12I understand why the RDPA was kind of obvious. I mean,
- 00:52:16you know, we already have NPRR1006. It's been sitting out there for some time.
- 00:52:20That takes into account things like ers and
- 00:52:24load management programs. So this was, you know, a natural
- 00:52:27extension to the RDPA. But I just want to make sure that we're not missing
- 00:52:31any other unintended consequences like what happens
- 00:52:34with the ORDC.
- 00:52:37Gotcha. So I may need to call on an ERCOT
- 00:52:41friend for some theory here,
- 00:52:44but my understanding is the capacity,
- 00:52:48the load capacity that is considered in
- 00:52:53the ORDC online capacity is loads
- 00:52:58that typically carry as and
- 00:53:02have some response to, some level of response
- 00:53:05to as instructions,
- 00:53:08and that typically non as carrying
- 00:53:13loads are not in the online capacity.
- 00:53:17Am I thinking about that correctly here?
- 00:53:29Go ahead. Yeah, Baker,
- 00:53:32you are right. So if my understanding correctly,
- 00:53:37what we're talking about here is adding
- 00:53:40these volunteers to the offline ORDC
- 00:53:45offline capacity. So, yes, so currently
- 00:53:49the ones included in offline, normally the
- 00:53:54resource can be bring up in half hour
- 00:53:58and also the resources carrying
- 00:54:03Non-Spin.
- 00:54:11I think that this, I mean, this fits if you guys
- 00:54:15scrolled on down to the language it talks about,
- 00:54:18you know, being ramped over a 30 minutes ramp period. So it fits that first
- 00:54:22criteria. And, you know, I'm assuming some
- 00:54:26of the prices that it's going to respond at, you know,
- 00:54:29may be equivalent to or, you know,
- 00:54:32higher than I. What we would see for offline nonspin.
- 00:54:36Yeah, that language.
- 00:54:44I think this, the 30 minutes there is just addressing how,
- 00:54:48how the calculation will work in the reliability
- 00:54:52deployment price adder.
- 00:54:55I don't know if it's necessarily how quick it
- 00:54:59will respond. I guess I'm just a little confused. And maybe language
- 00:55:03would help me wrap my mind around how
- 00:55:07it would be inserted into the ORDC
- 00:55:11methodology document as well as the settlement
- 00:55:14calculations.
- 00:55:24I do want to point out that for kernel RDC calculations,
- 00:55:29we do rely on the telemetries to tell us how much
- 00:55:33the how much, what are
- 00:55:36the status of the resource and also how
- 00:55:40much, for example, if we talk about ancillary service, how much reserves
- 00:55:44they are carrying. So for
- 00:55:48these so called curtailed load resource, I'm not
- 00:55:52sure if there's a telemetry to support of calculation.
- 00:55:56Another thing I want to point out is the ORTC
- 00:56:00is supposed to be gone after the
- 00:56:03RTC, so that's another thing
- 00:56:07I would like to bring it up.
- 00:56:14So, Jien, in response to your
- 00:56:18comment, I thought that there was some way
- 00:56:22of, you know, getting some telemetry on these so that
- 00:56:26ERCOT could track exactly how many megawatts they got. I know
- 00:56:29Bill Blevins has expressed that before,
- 00:56:33and then. Yes, I understand, like, but the ORDC is
- 00:56:38going to now become the aggregate ASDC, so I think it's still
- 00:56:42a relevant question.
- 00:56:48Let's see. Steve's in the queue with a question.
- 00:56:51Yeah, I'm not sure, but it sounds like maybe there's a little
- 00:56:55bit of confusion or cross purposes here.
- 00:56:59I think it sounds to me like Katie is
- 00:57:04suggesting something along the lines of calculating
- 00:57:08the deployed megawatts of Vecla,
- 00:57:14subtracting that amount from the RTOL
- 00:57:18cap calculation, and thus, you know,
- 00:57:21there's less reserves in the calculation and the ORDC
- 00:57:25adder price would be higher. And it sounds
- 00:57:28like maybe John is actually talking
- 00:57:32about adding these resources into the RTOL
- 00:57:37or RT auth cap number and. And lowering the.
- 00:57:41I'm not sure. I'm not sure I've understood either position 100%,
- 00:57:45frankly, but I
- 00:57:51guess it sounds like there's. I'm confused, at least. I don't know
- 00:57:54if anyone else is. So. Thanks, Eva.
- 00:57:58I think your suggestion was on point.
- 00:58:02Thank you for explaining that more
- 00:58:05detail, but I think that was the idea. So, yeah,
- 00:58:09I did hear GN talk about offline Non-Spin, so thank
- 00:58:12you for clarifying that.
- 00:58:17Okay, yeah, sorry. I guess maybe I
- 00:58:22was misunderstanding the idea. So I
- 00:58:26was talking. Sorry, I thought
- 00:58:29I was adding that
- 00:58:33part of the capacity into the ORDC
- 00:58:37offline capacity. That was my understanding.
- 00:58:41Maybe I was misunderstood.
- 00:58:55Yeah, I mean, I was just going to ask if, you know,
- 00:58:58Steve's suggestion, if sort of modifying that language is
- 00:59:01what you were looking for, Blake, and if that would help folks to see some
- 00:59:05language on that. I think the clarity
- 00:59:08that exchange brought me helps me
- 00:59:12understand where. Where y'all are wanting to go with this, and we
- 00:59:16can do some thinking on it internally. But, yeah,
- 00:59:20language. Language always helps to help firm.
- 00:59:23Firm up everybody's points of view.
- 00:59:28So if that's something you wanted to bring back and discuss next
- 00:59:31month, maybe in a draft form, that, that might be helpful.
- 00:59:35I don't think we're. LCRA is ready to give an opinion at
- 00:59:38this point until we look at this further.
- 00:59:42Yeah, happy to do that. Happy to have this on the agenda again next month,
- 00:59:46to have a more detailed conversation. I am curious,
- 00:59:49though, just to get ERCOT's point of view
- 00:59:53if this, and maybe I won't get an answer here,
- 00:59:57but this would
- 01:00:00affect the price formation calculations
- 01:00:04as well as would have settlement changes.
- 01:00:08Are you all able to give a
- 01:00:12non committal timeline of what
- 01:00:16that usually would take on y'all's end to implement,
- 01:00:24or is that too premature right now?
- 01:00:27Yeah, I think if we can have some kind of language,
- 01:00:31then we should be able to do some
- 01:00:34kind of impact analysis. So I'm
- 01:00:39not sure if anyone from settlement here, but at least
- 01:00:42we can do some analysis from EMS point of view.
- 01:00:51All right. That would be helpful for. For context.
- 01:00:54Yeah, sorry. This is Austin from settlements, and for some reason, I don't have a
- 01:00:59settlement impact logged into my brain for 1238.
- 01:01:02So I wasn't really focusing on discussion. So I
- 01:01:06can either look at it late, look at it, or if somebody wants to give
- 01:01:08me a quick high level, I'll listen this time,
- 01:01:12I promise. I'm happy to take
- 01:01:15it back and look at it. I just. For some reason, I didn't have 1238
- 01:01:18with the settlement impact on my list.
- 01:01:24Yeah, I think it would just be an impact to the RTOL cap
- 01:01:27calculation. Just adding a new
- 01:01:33operation there. Is there language that talks about
- 01:01:36that? Not yet. Not yet. Oh, that's why.
- 01:01:39Okay. That's. We may see that next month. So this
- 01:01:44is not something we need right now, Austin. We're going to discuss this
- 01:01:47as a group again next month and you'll have some more
- 01:01:50clarity then. Okay, thanks. Yes. That's why I hadn't seen any languages that impact.
- 01:01:54Appreciate that. So RTOL cap.
- 01:01:59Okay. Which means this would be
- 01:02:03a throwaway with RTC+B, right? That's correct.
- 01:02:06Okay. Thank you. Settlement wise. All right,
- 01:02:09thanks for the discussion, everyone. Katie, thanks for bringing that up and
- 01:02:12walking me through that. Walking us through that.
- 01:02:16We can move on to the next item in our agenda,
- 01:02:19which is NPRR1241.
- 01:02:23This is firm fuel supply, service availability,
- 01:02:26and hourly standby fee. Also submitted
- 01:02:31by Katie. This one isn't officially with
- 01:02:34us yet. It still needs to be discussed at
- 01:02:39WMS, but wanted to bring it forward to
- 01:02:43the group to get some preliminary discussions so we can
- 01:02:47have a more informative discussion at WMS. So, Katie,
- 01:02:50do you want to give an overview of this to the group?
- 01:02:54Yeah, Blake, thanks for letting me finagling this
- Item 9 - NPRR1241 FFSS Availability and Hourly Standby Fee – Initial Discussion - Katie Rich01:02:58might onto the agenda. So I know that
- 01:03:02we're still waiting a formal WMS referral,
- 01:03:06but I thought this could help us, you know, have some feedback prior
- 01:03:09to that WMS discussion. And then I
- 01:03:13just. I'll lay it out quickly for those that weren't on PRS.
- 01:03:17So, based on the last couple of firm fuel
- 01:03:20deployments, luminant has noticed the need
- 01:03:24for further refinement of the clawback and or the withholding
- 01:03:27amount. So we're introducing this sort
- 01:03:31of, you know, stair step approach.
- 01:03:35So, under this new criteria,
- 01:03:39FSRS could see a
- 01:03:43minimum, maximum clawback of operating days for
- 01:03:46unavailability for greater than 75% of the hours.
- 01:03:50This is an increase over what ERCOT has right now, which is
- 01:03:5490 day. And then the reduction decreases to 10%
- 01:03:58if it's unavailable for less than or equal to 10%
- 01:04:02of the hours. So you guys can kind of see the range.
- 01:04:07And then I kind of wanted to respond to a comment that I
- 01:04:10heard at PRS. You know,
- 01:04:13there was some question about whether or not
- 01:04:17this would improve the quality of the service.
- 01:04:20So, you know, I thought that
- 01:04:23the clawbacks that were highlighted in the July
- 01:04:2730 settlement report that Maggie gave were,
- 01:04:31you know, included some prime examples. So, you know, there's significant
- 01:04:34clawbacks for being unavailable versus
- 01:04:38startup failure for actual deployment. So I guess the question
- 01:04:42is, which one has a bigger impact on
- 01:04:45what the service is trying to provide?
- 01:04:48And we felt like this NPRR is aligning performance
- 01:04:52incentives with respective risk.
- 01:04:59So wanted to respond to that. The other two comments,
- 01:05:02I think, that we discussed during PRS. So, Blake,
- 01:05:05I'll go ahead. Yeah, I think that
- 01:05:09was me that had that comment. You know,
- 01:05:13it just, you know, on the. On the face, looking at this,
- 01:05:17it does seem to be more
- 01:05:21lenient than the current process in total.
- 01:05:24Although if, you know, the. The highest clawback
- 01:05:28range that's in this is a little bit higher than what's
- 01:05:32currently in place. So,
- 01:05:35you know, when our point of view is when these resources are called
- 01:05:39on during a watch, it's imperative
- 01:05:42that they be available. And we think issuing
- 01:05:46leniency in that situation maybe isn't
- 01:05:50the best thing for the market. But I am curious
- 01:05:54of ERCOT's opinion on this,
- 01:05:57and from my understanding and the group's understanding,
- 01:06:00what are some non fuel related issues that ERCOT's
- 01:06:06maybe seen in the past that have. That have triggered this availability
- 01:06:10clawback? Is that something that can be discussed? I'm just
- 01:06:14curious.
- 01:06:19Hey, Blake, is Ino. Personally, I'm not ready
- 01:06:23to talk about what happened in the past, but I can tell you from
- 01:06:26ERCOT perspective, we like the idea of
- 01:06:30some sort of proportionality, and we're still trying
- 01:06:33to develop our own opinion on the threshold values
- 01:06:38and the number of days of clawbacks. So from that perspective,
- 01:06:42we're not ready to commit to anything at this point.
- 01:06:46But the idea of proportionality seems
- 01:06:50like a good starting point. It's just the values themselves
- 01:06:55are subject to question at this point.
- 01:07:02Understood. Thank you, Eno. I see Faye's in the chat.
- 01:07:06Faye, please go ahead.
- 01:07:13Hi, can you hear me? Yes.
- 01:07:16Thank you. So, Faye with Austin Energy,
- 01:07:20I think we had similar questions when this was first
- 01:07:23brought up at the WMS earlier this
- 01:07:27month. We appreciate the idea that proposing
- 01:07:32a new approach and trying to improve the callback
- 01:07:36mechanism, I'm just not quite
- 01:07:40sure about the relationship between
- 01:07:43the proposed change with,
- 01:07:46in the same section, paragraph 1011, 1213,
- 01:07:50and all the way down to, I believe, paragraph 14,
- 01:07:57because the following paragraph also talks
- 01:08:00about when a resource come online,
- 01:08:03or not able to come online or fail to stay
- 01:08:07online due to fuel or non fuel
- 01:08:10related issue, it will be subject to certain days
- 01:08:14of clawback.
- 01:08:18I'm not quite sure how paragraph nine, the proposed
- 01:08:22change, applied to or related to the
- 01:08:26following paragraph. Yeah, I can take
- 01:08:29that face. So if you guys scroll back up to the language that we changed.
- 01:08:39So you see what it says. It says for which ERCOT has issued a
- 01:08:43watch and the rest of it is dealing with an actual
- 01:08:47deployment. So we're changing
- 01:08:51the language dealing with the watch, which seemed to
- 01:08:55have the most severe penalty to it,
- 01:08:58versus the actual times when there
- 01:09:01were issues starting up with the deployment. I mean, we didn't change the fuel.
- 01:09:05I mean, fuel is definitely an important piece of
- 01:09:09this to have. And I know that you just proposed
- 01:09:13NPRR dealing with things like lint fuel,
- 01:09:17so hopefully that helps explain it to you,
- 01:09:19Faye. Thank you. Then which
- 01:09:23paragraph would apply if ERCOT issued a watch and
- 01:09:27then a resource being deployed and fail
- 01:09:32to stay online or feel related issue?
- 01:09:36Oh, so sorry for non fear related issue.
- 01:09:42So you have nine for the watch.
- 01:09:45Right. So, and then if you scroll on down,
- 01:09:49then those other paragraphs apply in your
- 01:09:53other scenario. So ten applies for fuel related and
- 01:09:59then the others go ahead, Daniel. That's correct. The ten
- 01:10:03relates to the fuel related issue. The nine
- 01:10:08is doing a watch, which is really critical
- 01:10:11when the resource is not available, even if it's not available for
- 01:10:151 hour, we're going to claw back or withhold payments
- 01:10:18for 90 days. And so if
- 01:10:22the watch, for example,
- 01:10:25lasts three days and it's not available in the first hour,
- 01:10:28well, there's no incentive for the resource to
- 01:10:32make themselves available for the remaining of the watch because they know we're going
- 01:10:35to call back 90 days or withhold payment for 90 days. So this
- 01:10:38is why I personally stated that we
- 01:10:42kind of like the idea for personality. It's just the numbers themselves.
- 01:10:45The percentages are questionable at
- 01:10:49this point.
- 01:10:53Okay, thank you for the clarification. Then. My understanding
- 01:10:57is paragraph nine would apply to when ERCOT issue
- 01:11:00a watch but no deployment. And then the following
- 01:11:04paragraph would deal with deployment.
- 01:11:07Correct. But Faye, please reach out
- 01:11:11to us and we can walk you through the sections
- 01:11:15one by one to make sure you are clear on
- 01:11:19which sections apply to what your concern is.
- 01:11:25I think that already answered my question. Thank you. That clarifies which
- 01:11:28paragraph applies to which situation. Thank you.
- 01:11:31Thank you.
- 01:11:38All right, I'm not seeing anyone else in the queue, but from,
- 01:11:42from LCRA's perspective, you know, we agree with what
- 01:11:45David just put in the chat. Prices would be the incentive as well as,
- 01:11:49if not, maybe even more so that the number of eyes
- 01:11:52that are on performance here in
- 01:11:56terms of this program. So that would be the incentive in my mind.
- 01:12:01To answer your question. You know,
- 01:12:04I'm not seeing anyone else in the queue. Katie,
- 01:12:10happy to summarize this conversation back to WMS to
- 01:12:16inform the discussion there. And,
- 01:12:19you know, willing to have this back on the table again for
- 01:12:22more discussion next month if. If that's what we're doing.
- 01:12:31I think that would be helpful. Eno, you know, happy to
- 01:12:34work with you on what you think,
- 01:12:37you know, other percentages could be. So feel
- 01:12:41free to reach out to us anytime on that. Right. Thanks a lot,
- 01:12:45Katie. Hopefully within a couple of weeks we
- 01:12:49should have a better direction on this NPRR.
- 01:13:00Alrighty. Thanks for the discussion, everyone. I think Luis
- 01:13:04is now available so we can roll back to
- 01:13:08item two in the agenda, which is updates to the 2025
- 01:13:12AS methodology. Luis, are you available?
- 01:13:17Hey, thanks, Mike. Yes, I'm here.
- 01:13:25Can I get a presenter role,
- 01:13:28please?
- 01:13:48Okay, can I, can you confirm you can see my screen?
- 01:13:53Yes, sir. Perfect. Thank you.
- 01:13:56All right, thanks, Blake, for moving things around for me.
- Item 2 - 2025 AS Methodology - Luis Hinojosa01:14:01Appreciate it. Okay, I have the chat up. I'm going to go
- 01:14:04through the 2025 AS methodology changes. If there are
- 01:14:08any questions, please put them in the chat and I will try to pause
- 01:14:11if I see them. Okay,
- 01:14:15moving on. All right, so I know we brought a
- 01:14:19preliminary discussion last month to kind of get the ball rolling, get people
- 01:14:23interested in the discussion, making sure we got comments from others.
- 01:14:27So we did come in July just to get that started. We have then since
- 01:14:31talked to PDCWG as well, and we have started sharing
- 01:14:34this proposed methodology here in August. I have links here to all those
- 01:14:38previous discussions covering WMWG
- 01:14:43today and then going into ROS, WMS, TAC in September.
- 01:14:46Kind of a reminder for everybody is we started a little bit earlier this
- 01:14:50year, so we can make sure that we cover the ability to make sure we
- 01:14:54get this to the PUC here by the end of the year.
- 01:14:59Okay, so the overview for today is what's changed
- 01:15:02from the last time we talked. So pretty much what stays the same is
- 01:15:07we're not considering any changes to RF.
- 01:15:10The quantity changes you're going to see is either likely
- 01:15:14due to the inertia changes or the IFRO change. So the IFRO
- 01:15:18for 2025 has changed to 1365.
- 01:15:22So we did update some data there.
- 01:15:25Now, last time we shared and had this discussion going,
- 01:15:29we didn't have any changes for Non-Spin or ecrs coming.
- 01:15:33But in this proposed methodology you're going to see today,
- 01:15:36we have, we are considering changes. I will get into more details of what those
- 01:15:40changes are as we get into those sections.
- 01:15:45And then as what you're going to see here is in most cases, you're going
- 01:15:47to see what we, what our calculations were from last year,
- 01:15:51or quantities, what they would have been for this year had we used the same
- 01:15:55methodology. And then what the calculations will be
- 01:15:58cut quantities will be with the proposed changes we are suggesting.
- 01:16:04And I try to bold anything that was, you know, changed from
- 01:16:07the last presentation that we went through this group.
- 01:16:11So I'll start with responsive reserve. So again, we're nothing proposing
- 01:16:15any changes to the methodology, but we did go back
- 01:16:18and update the inertia for 2023 and 2024, which means we
- 01:16:22updated our RRS table as well to account for the
- 01:16:26IFRO change, which is now 1365. It was 1185
- 01:16:30previously.
- 01:16:33But as we go through this. So this is the updated RRF
- 01:16:37table. This is going to show you at different inertia levels,
- 01:16:40the PFR requirement for and all, as well as the load to
- 01:16:44PFR ratios. As we look through the
- 01:16:47bottom two rows of this table, the first asterisk,
- 01:16:51red asterisk, is what the I, what the calculations were with the current
- 01:16:55IFRO and what, how that adjustment looks with the updated
- 01:16:58IFRO in the last row here.
- 01:17:03Now getting into the quantities, again, no major changes
- 01:17:06to the methodology at all. So quantities are going to be very similar
- 01:17:10with just a slight adjustment. So here to kind
- 01:17:14of prepare you for the next few slides, gray is 2024
- 01:17:18quantities and ERCOT blue is what the quantities would look like
- 01:17:22this year on average. You're going to see a 13 megawatt increase for
- 01:17:26the year so far. So far we've only
- 01:17:29calculated full month of January through July.
- 01:17:33And then as we move forward, I believe I have three months posted
- 01:17:38for each month. But additionally we have
- 01:17:42the as sheets that have been posted with this that have
- 01:17:45the additional data for the additional months if you would like to go look at
- 01:17:48those.
- 01:17:52So here I have February, again,
- 01:17:55very similar. If you see any changes likely due, it's due to the
- 01:17:58IFR change or inertia change, but overall very similar quantities.
- 01:18:06I have April here,
- 01:18:10minimal changes,
- 01:18:13and then one more for July. Again, not a lot of, not a
- 01:18:17lot of movement. So I think this one was pretty straightforward. I didn't want to
- 01:18:20spend too much time here, but if there are questions, please let me know.
- 01:18:24Otherwise I will move on to the regulation of these.
- 01:18:31Okay, we'll continue.
- 01:18:35Okay, getting into regulation. So there is one regulation
- 01:18:39change that we are proposing, and I
- 01:18:42did discuss this in our last discussion. We've had this one on our
- 01:18:46radar. We even shared this idea last year and what we were going through last
- 01:18:49year methodology. But the change that we're looking for here
- 01:18:52is switching from net load forecast ramping and
- 01:18:56accounting for historical regulation deployment to moving
- 01:19:00to a net load forecast error accounting in
- 01:19:04the calculations. I have a few details here as we go through to kind of
- 01:19:07share how we came to this determination,
- 01:19:11but by adjusting the two net load
- 01:19:14forecast there, the wind and solar adjustments also
- 01:19:18were moved from a ramping calculation or values,
- 01:19:20to a net load forecast error values.
- 01:19:26So to kind of share here a little bit more kind of straightforward on what
- 01:19:30this means is if you look at 2024 to 2025, what we had
- 01:19:34historically was looking at net load ramps and historical deployments
- 01:19:38for regulation. Now what you're going to see is we're using the same time
- 01:19:41period of two years, but we're using the net load forecast error, or NLFE,
- 01:19:45is what you're going to see through the rest of this presentation,
- 01:19:48and then making adjustments to the GE tables to account for net
- 01:19:52load forecast error rather than net load ramp.
- 01:19:55No changes to the FRS components, no changes to the ACE integral
- 01:19:58components. One thing that I did note at the bottom, and I believe we
- 01:20:02shared this in the past as well, was we are looking at LFL or large
- 01:20:06load potential adjustments for regulation.
- 01:20:09But what we're seeing as of now, the amount of LFL we have today,
- 01:20:14no impacts to the methodology for this year, that may change
- 01:20:17in the future. We plan to share LFL
- 01:20:21analysis with PDCWG regularly
- 01:20:25to see if there's any impact changes as we move forward, as the capacity
- 01:20:29grows in the LLC.
- 01:20:33This is just a recap kind of getting into why we feel we're comfortable
- 01:20:37with going to net load forecast error. Again. I know we had this discussion
- 01:20:40last time, but essentially what this means is what we're showing
- 01:20:44here is our generation two b dispatch, which is an additional
- 01:20:48input to SCED, is accounting for load forecast,
- 01:20:51wind forecast, solar forecast, dc tie ramping.
- 01:20:55So there are very many inputs to GTPD,
- 01:20:58which then helps get dispatched
- 01:21:03to help account for wind or solar ramping. So this is one of the reasons
- 01:21:06why we wanted to move to the net load forecast. There is. We believe that
- 01:21:10get has enough input to what will be happening here shortly in
- 01:21:14the next five minutes intervals to help dispatch. And then
- 01:21:17just some acronyms that I know I threw out there, predicted wind ramp rate,
- 01:21:20predicted solar ramp rate for WPWR and PSRR.
- 01:21:26And then one more thing I wanted to focus on, on PSRR. Again,
- 01:21:29as a recap. In 2023, we made
- 01:21:32our PSRR cap dynamic.
- 01:21:35So this would allow for us to be a
- 01:21:39little bit more aggressive in our ramping periods, sunrise and sunset,
- 01:21:43to just because essentially, we know we're guaranteed
- 01:21:47to have a ramp during this period, so we could dispatch appropriately
- 01:21:50during those periods. And,
- 01:21:54and since we've implemented, what we've seen is the impact here is
- 01:21:59we've seen reduced regulation exhaustion and reduced manual
- 01:22:03operator actions in real time during the sunset hours. So, as mentioned,
- 01:22:07the changes to GTPD are working as expected. So this is what
- 01:22:11helped us feel comfortable to move into the net load forecaster to account for
- 01:22:15regulation.
- 01:22:19And then one note here, this was the analysis that we've shared
- 01:22:22with PDCWG. There is a link here for more detailed analysis and
- 01:22:26other aspects that we've looked at. But essentially,
- 01:22:30what we saw as the key takeaway as of now is if
- 01:22:34I look at the simple red circle here, is if I
- 01:22:37see positive ramping for this NSFL that we're
- 01:22:40calling in this analysis, not a defined term, but non SCED dispatchable,
- 01:22:44flexible load. So any load that's not following a SCED instruction.
- 01:22:48So, just so we're looking at those ramps and seeing how
- 01:22:52they impact regulation exhaustion. And you can see there are very
- 01:22:55many cases, even if we go all the way to the far right, we do
- 01:22:57see positive ramps that are impacting regulation exhaustion
- 01:23:01to this day. So we'll continue to look at this as we go forward.
- 01:23:04But this was the reason for no large load impact to
- 01:23:08the AS methodology.
- 01:23:13Okay, so all of that now, getting into the calculations. So this
- 01:23:17shows you 2024. And purple is what our quantities
- 01:23:20were last year. Gray is what the quantities would
- 01:23:23have been if we continued with net load forecast ramp and regulation
- 01:23:28deployment, historical regulation deployment. And then the ERCOT
- 01:23:32blue is now switching to the net load forecast error.
- 01:23:36What you're going to see here for regulation up and down is
- 01:23:40it's about the same to what our 2024 quantity
- 01:23:44was, or a slight increase, but overall a decrease from what
- 01:23:47the quantity would have looked like if we maintained the same methodology.
- 01:23:53Some of the months as we go through during our ramping period, you're going to
- 01:23:56see some towering bars. And that was, you know, one of the reasons why
- 01:24:00we wanted to really look at the methodology and see what we actually, what we
- 01:24:03felt we needed to, if we needed to make any changes. So let me show
- 01:24:06a few months here to kind of give that perspective.
- 01:24:10So again, now I'm showing the 24 hours view for a month.
- 01:24:15And again, as you see some of the morning periods,
- 01:24:19or take the regulation up
- 01:24:22for the evening ramp, you would have seen a really high towering bar.
- 01:24:27But with the new methodology, it's slightly under what we figured we
- 01:24:31had last year for quantities. But again, with the adjustments to GTBD,
- 01:24:36we feel comfortable with where we are with the regulation quantities.
- 01:24:40You'll see the very similar trend for regulation down
- 01:24:43in the morning ramping periods. And again,
- 01:24:47we continue to do analysis on GTPD and tune
- 01:24:50the parameters there. We feel comfortable with where
- 01:24:54the quantities are landing.
- 01:24:58And you're going to see very similar flavor of what we saw in January.
- 01:25:01This is March and
- 01:25:06this is June.
- 01:25:10Okay, any questions on regulation?
- 01:25:15Okay. I am not seeing any. So I will move forward
- 01:25:19to ERCOTs. Okay,
- 01:25:22so in ERCOTs, there are three changes here that we
- 01:25:27want to cover. Again, this is different from what
- 01:25:31we shared last month. So a couple things in bold here,
- 01:25:35but as a reminder, ECRS is computed as a capacity
- 01:25:38needed to recover frequency following a large unit trip,
- 01:25:42and additionally the support, any capacity
- 01:25:45needed to support net load forecast errors during a net load ramp period.
- 01:25:49So previously, this used to be a combination of
- 01:25:52the two capacities. What we're recommending for this year is to take
- 01:25:56the maximum of either capacity. And the reason for that
- 01:25:59is we went back and looked at our data and realized
- 01:26:03that the likelihood or probability of having both a net
- 01:26:07load ramp error with an additional unit trip was.
- 01:26:11The probability is very low. So we wanted to take the maximum.
- 01:26:15And again, I have another slide here that will kind of share this visually rather
- 01:26:18than with words, but we'll get there. The next thing is
- 01:26:22we also, with the adjustment of looking at just the maximum
- 01:26:26of either capacity, we bumped the frequency recovery to 70th percentile.
- 01:26:29It was 60th percentile. This aligns the 70th
- 01:26:33percentile to use the same percentile that we use for RRF today.
- 01:26:38And then we remove the risk of ensuring there was at
- 01:26:42least a 90th percentile in the calculation for net load forecaster.
- 01:26:45With moving to this new methodology, we felt we didn't need to have the floor
- 01:26:49there for that. So again,
- 01:26:54in words, kind of, everything mostly stays the same. They're still
- 01:26:57using the 30 minutes net load forecast error to do the base
- 01:27:00calculations this. But as you get to the bottom, you'll see the frequency
- 01:27:04recovery has bumped to 70th percentile. And the calculation
- 01:27:07itself, this is where the adjustments made, where you still make the net load
- 01:27:11forecast, plus the solar adjustment that we're looking for,
- 01:27:14and then looking at frequency recovery, the 70th percentile,
- 01:27:18coverage of the frequency recovery.
- 01:27:22So now looking at quantities. Okay,
- 01:27:26so I see a question from, like, before I move forward. Hey,
- 01:27:30Luis. Yeah. I wanted to talk about the new 2025 calculation.
- 01:27:34So I understand your point that,
- 01:27:37you know, historically, unit trips don't occur during the
- 01:27:41high net load hour in the past, but, you know,
- 01:27:44there is a possibility for it to align in the
- 01:27:48future. And, you know, I'm thinking through
- 01:27:51the graphs that you all presented at the as work that showed forecast
- 01:27:55error and net load ramps increasing at a steady
- 01:27:59rate over time. And just thinking about situations like if we get
- 01:28:03into, you know, ten hundred degree days in a row with
- 01:28:07high net load ramps and an aging gas fleet that is being
- 01:28:10overworked during that time period, it seems like
- 01:28:14we might be ripe for more unit trips and more frequency
- 01:28:18events, and maybe the probability for alignment
- 01:28:21between those two variables might actually be increasing as well.
- 01:28:26Am I thinking about that correctly, or is that scenario that I described accounted
- 01:28:30for in the methodology somewhere else?
- 01:28:36So, well, we'll take into account
- 01:28:39outages when we get into nonsense is one
- 01:28:42thing, but I think for this, that is something that we monitor.
- 01:28:46And again, when we get into nonsense or some of the other, these are
- 01:28:50things that we monitor in real time. And we have the ability to procure additional,
- 01:28:53as in scenarios where, you know, if those temperature days
- 01:28:57are coming up there, we see high variability in our forecast.
- 01:29:00Those are discussions that we have internally with the control room, with our
- 01:29:04vendors, with our internal teams, as a scenario that may be needed.
- 01:29:07But additionally, just from looking at the data that we have
- 01:29:11today and again bumping the inertia to
- 01:29:15that 70th percentile, but you're right.
- 01:29:18One thing I will say as we go through the next few slides is the
- 01:29:21big drivers that we're seeing for the quantities today are the net
- 01:29:25load forecast errors and the solar adjustment, because the
- 01:29:28capacity in solar is largely increasing over the next
- 01:29:32year. And so that is something that is in the back of our mind.
- 01:29:35But as I mentioned, it's something that we monitor.
- 01:29:40Thank you. Yeah, I just, you know, kind of echo some comments I made at
- 01:29:44the workshop as well. We appreciate a forward look and
- 01:29:48some consideration of what's coming down the road in terms of risk in
- 01:29:52developing these quantities. And then one more question that I
- 01:29:56know you've probably handled somewhere else, and I forgot on the
- 01:30:00next slide, there are values
- 01:30:04for 2025 presented.
- 01:30:08I'm curious why we don't have August through December yet.
- 01:30:12Is that something that's coming down the road or is,
- 01:30:16or what's the reason for that? So these are,
- 01:30:21so the purple is the last year's quantity,
- 01:30:24and the gray and blue,
- 01:30:28what are the quantities that we would procure this year
- 01:30:33if we had the data? So we only have data up to July. I mean,
- 01:30:36August is wrapping up now. So we'll start calculating August,
- 01:30:39but we can only calculate the month once the month closes out.
- 01:30:43So we have this year's data to implement. But we'll see the
- 01:30:472025 proposals as the months close in
- 01:30:51subsequent presentation. Okay. Okay. Thanks, Luis.
- 01:30:55Good thing.
- 01:30:59Okay, so I will move along.
- 01:31:03So, again, kind of, as I explained here, you're seeing 2024
- 01:31:07quantities, the 30 minutes ahead net load forecast error 2025,
- 01:31:11what that would have looked like if we kept the exact same methodology with 30
- 01:31:14minutes ahead forecast. And then this proposed,
- 01:31:17which is making the adjustment to the calculations as mentioned.
- 01:31:21So overall, what you're going to see is a reduced quantity through
- 01:31:25the day or through the month.
- 01:31:29But I will get into the hours now.
- 01:31:34And again, the one thing that I wanted to share is, when we're
- 01:31:37looking at the quantities, what's really driving quantities is
- 01:31:41net load forecaster and solar capacity growth. So what you're going
- 01:31:44to see is, as we get through these months,
- 01:31:48sort of in the middle of the day, you start seeing higher quantities because
- 01:31:52of the additional net load forecast error that we're accounting for.
- 01:31:56And sort of, and you kind of see that kind
- 01:31:59of lower off in the evening, in nighttime hours.
- 01:32:03So, but again, same thing you'll see for most of the overall
- 01:32:08reduction in quantities in ERCOT.
- 01:32:12So this is March here, again, seeing a little
- 01:32:16bit more bump going through the daytime
- 01:32:21hours. What you're going to see is as that gray bar grows in
- 01:32:25our previous calculation, you kind of see that similar growth in the
- 01:32:28proposed as well. Again, just because we're
- 01:32:32taking the maximum of either calculation here.
- 01:32:37And then this is July. So as we get into July,
- 01:32:41this is really where you start seeing that capacity growth show.
- 01:32:45So as we get to the next few months, we'll see how that data shows
- 01:32:49for the capacity growth here. But you're starting to see very
- 01:32:52towering bars through, through these daytime hours.
- 01:32:56But again, with knowing that through this daytime likely
- 01:33:00we're, well, from the analysis we've done is we're Aknet net load forecast
- 01:33:04error portion of the calculation for the quantities through
- 01:33:08the days here. And then frequency recovery is what
- 01:33:11kind of drives the nighttime hours.
- 01:33:18Okay, I think this is the last slide ahead for ERCOT. Any other questions for
- 01:33:21ERCOT?
- 01:33:26Okay, moving on to nonsense.
- 01:33:33So only one change here for Non-Spin.
- 01:33:36So Non-Spin. We're using a six hour ahead forecast for our analysis.
- 01:33:41With some percentile coverage across the day.
- 01:33:45We kind of pulled back on our nighttime hours, or we originally,
- 01:33:48in our original calculations, our nighttime hours have a lower percentile
- 01:33:52coverage. But additionally this year we felt comfortable
- 01:33:56with moving in those nighttime hours additionally to a four
- 01:34:00hour ahead. Net load error, forecast error.
- 01:34:04And I'll kind of share some data here as to why we felt comfortable with
- 01:34:08making this adjustment. So what you're seeing here is
- 01:34:12the nighttime hours that we're considering for making the adjustment
- 01:34:16and what sort of offline capacity do we typically have.
- 01:34:20So in the four boxes, you see the summary 2020 to 2024
- 01:34:24and the blue boxes, anything that could start up within 1
- 01:34:28hour to 3 hours. The gray box is anything from 1 hour to 4 hours,
- 01:34:31and the purple box is anything from 1 hour to 5 hours. So what you're
- 01:34:35seeing is there's quite a bit of offline capacity that's typically available
- 01:34:38at night, essentially more low risk hours here that
- 01:34:43could be utilized as needed. And the other thing that we're not showing here is
- 01:34:47anything that's less than 1 hour. There's additional capacity on the more
- 01:34:51quick start resources that are out there. And then the one additional
- 01:34:54thing that I wanted to show you here in red is the typical
- 01:34:58CCM or the committed capacity margin that is available
- 01:35:02during these hours. And the committed capacity of margin is anything
- 01:35:06that has an online HSL. We include offline,
- 01:35:09Non-Spin ERCOT from controllable load resources and
- 01:35:13then whatever the forecast is showing for this period. So again,
- 01:35:17really just to say that we felt comfortable saying that we typically will have
- 01:35:21enough capacity through the night. And if there was ever a risk,
- 01:35:24there is resources available that we could ask
- 01:35:28to come online if we needed to.
- 01:35:34So from a quantity perspective, you're going
- 01:35:38to see a slight adjustment. Again, we're only making the adjustment through the nighttime hours.
- 01:35:42So overall, you're going to see an increase. But from
- 01:35:45what the. So again, in purple, 2024, from last year,
- 01:35:482025, with that same methodology in gray,
- 01:35:52and then the ERCOT blue and the proposed with using a six hour
- 01:35:56and a four hour adjustment. And the four hour adjustment again, is only
- 01:35:59for the nighttime hours. So as we get
- 01:36:02into the hours, you see here, kind of the growth grows
- 01:36:06through the day as, as would be the six hour head because that's the
- 01:36:12part of the methodology that's using. But you see the small adjustment in the,
- 01:36:15in the nighttime hours where we pull back. So in this month, we're very similar
- 01:36:19to what we would have, what we did pull as quantities in
- 01:36:222024.
- 01:36:27Next slide. This is March. Again, daytime hours,
- 01:36:31you're seeing quantities match the six hour head.
- 01:36:34And even by looking at the four hour head in evening hours,
- 01:36:38or, I'm sorry, nighttime hours, you kind of still get the same
- 01:36:42quantity that you would have in the six hour head. So even with trying to
- 01:36:45look at the more closer term, shorter forecast
- 01:36:49ahead, you still get a similar quantity.
- 01:36:53And then the last one I have is July. So overall
- 01:36:57similar come some adjustment you see here in the hours
- 01:37:01two through five, or it's actually three through six here,
- 01:37:06based on the adjustment in the methodology. So just a slight, slight adjustments
- 01:37:10here through nighttime hours.
- 01:37:13And that is all I have.
- 01:37:16As mentioned, this was the second go around with WMS.
- 01:37:20We do plan to take this discussion to ROS, WMS and TAC next.
- 01:37:23So if you have
- 01:37:27any other feedback, please ask now or any questions,
- 01:37:30but otherwise, feel free to send me an email and let me
- 01:37:34know if there are any questions or suggestions that you have. But that's
- 01:37:38all I have.
- 01:37:44Thank you, Luis. I see a clear cue.
- 01:37:48Appreciate your time today.
- 01:37:51And I think you got a double header. The next topic. Do you need a
- 01:37:55break or a glass of water before we start?
- 01:37:58No, I'm good. I'll roll through. Let me see if I can
- 01:38:01find the deck for this 1 second.
- 01:38:08And this one I wasn't really going to share fully
- 01:38:13in depth. I won't go through all the analysis. This is more just a follow
- 01:38:16up from our last discussion. So hopefully
- 01:38:20you can see my screen again. Yes,
- Item 3 - State of Charge Monitoring - Luis Hinojosa01:38:24sir. It's up. Okay, so really,
- 01:38:28this was a follow up from what we brought last month.
- 01:38:32Last month we talked about sharing what we shared a template of
- 01:38:36what the report would be for.
- 01:38:39You know, looking at our ancillary services that
- 01:38:43ESRs are carrying and looking at the state of charge related
- 01:38:47to how much as they have. And all this report
- 01:38:52now is the same template that we had last time, but now
- 01:38:55using production data from July, we said we
- 01:38:59would bring production data. We will continue to bring production data
- 01:39:03in these charts so we can see if there's any system adjustments or
- 01:39:06any changes over the months as we go through this.
- 01:39:11But I just wanted to mention that this is now available. It is on
- 01:39:15the WMS page, and we do plan to post
- 01:39:19this on the WMS page monthly. I don't think we need a standing
- 01:39:23topic on this unless there's. Blake,
- 01:39:26maybe I'll need your help on if we have
- 01:39:30this as a standing topic or just have it there. And if we have questions,
- 01:39:33we can answer them. But this is here now.
- 01:39:36And again, just for those that maybe haven't seen this,
- 01:39:40this chart here is what we would call a failure to provide based
- 01:39:45on state of charge. And if
- 01:39:49you. These calculations are all done by our EMS.
- 01:39:53And then the next few slides are failure to kind of a failure to
- 01:39:56perform analysis, taking an FME event, non FME event.
- 01:40:00The discussions that we have with PDCFG and looking at
- 01:40:04how many ESRs were evaluated and potentially how many of those
- 01:40:07were impacted by low state of charge in that performance.
- 01:40:10And then we do one more for the monthly report that we
- 01:40:14already have with compliance, the GREDP and CLREDP.
- 01:40:17Just looking at anything that did fail for the month and how many of
- 01:40:21those intervals may have been due to low SSE.
- 01:40:25Again, I know I've covered all this. I just wanted to give a high level
- 01:40:27overview. Just let everybody know that this is now available with production
- 01:40:31data. And that's all I had,
- 01:40:35Blake. I just wanted to make sure people were aware that this is out there.
- 01:40:39I do see a queue, sir. Mister Reedy, please go ahead.
- 01:40:50Sorry. The first time I've ever been double muted. Can you
- 01:40:54hear me now? Yes, sir.
- 01:40:58Can you go back to slide three, please?
- 01:41:01Sure.
- 01:41:05What? Forward one. Oh,
- 01:41:08sorry about that. Yes, no worries.
- 01:41:12The other three? I guess. So on
- 01:41:16the RRS PFR,
- 01:41:19the low SOC ESRs.
- 01:41:24Can you just refresh
- 01:41:29my memory on what the trigger
- 01:41:33is for evaluated? So, for example, on June 4,
- 01:41:37it says there were four batteries that were evaluated.
- 01:41:42Does that mean that during that event there were
- 01:41:46only four batteries that had
- 01:41:50a low SOC? Or does that mean that of the
- 01:41:53batteries that had a low SOC, you only looked at four of them?
- 01:41:58No. So the first start from the beginning,
- 01:42:01the evaluated ESRs is anybody who had headroom during
- 01:42:05the event as an ESR was evaluated.
- 01:42:09So for that event, 46 ESRs
- 01:42:12were evaluated. Of the 46,
- 01:42:16four of them were telemetering an SOC below 20%.
- 01:42:21And I'll make an adjustment there. The SSE takes into account where your MNO
- 01:42:25is. So your minimum SATA charge capability.
- 01:42:29So if that is less than 20%, we look at
- 01:42:34how many of those were in that range, which would be four.
- 01:42:37And of those four, one did fail.
- 01:42:42Now we will. Our team typically goes and
- 01:42:45looks at this and has the discussions with PDCWG to see if potentially
- 01:42:49this was due to state of charge or if this was a failure for something
- 01:42:52else. But this is our way to go and kind of take a
- 01:42:55deeper dive and look at where performance is lacking for whatever reason,
- 01:42:59and we'll reach out to rfis and things like that. Okay,
- 01:43:02great. Thanks for humoring me and going through that again. Sure,
- 01:43:06no problem.
- 01:43:09While we're on that same slide, those two that failed,
- 01:43:14were they. Were they contacted?
- 01:43:18I will have to go check. I.
- 01:43:24We have a history of who we reach out to. Yeah, it just
- 01:43:28seems like if you've got somebody failing, they need to be the first. First ones
- 01:43:31to know so they can take corrective action. Thanks.
- 01:43:35Right. And I'll tell. Just a general process for us
- 01:43:38is we look at these as we go through our monthly reports with PDCWG.
- 01:43:43And if we had not reached out to them prior to the meeting,
- 01:43:46we likely will after the meeting, so we can make sure we get the group
- 01:43:49updated on what's going on. It is easier if
- 01:43:53we have these batteries participate in the discussions, as in PDCWG,
- 01:43:58so we can get a direct response there.
- 01:44:01Just depends on participation.
- 01:44:08Michael has a question. Yes, please.
- 01:44:12Lewis, can you define what is failure in the context of
- 01:44:16this chart? Sure.
- 01:44:19So these calculations are based on the bowel zero zero
- 01:44:23one trdezenhe standard, which is the measure for
- 01:44:26primary frequency response. So in
- 01:44:30the standard, there's a
- 01:44:34scoring metric from zero to two. So you have to score at least
- 01:44:370.75 of the expected response for an event.
- 01:44:42So a failed response means you didn't meet
- 01:44:460.75% of the expected response from for the event.
- 01:44:50And it's all based on. We're looking for
- 01:44:53proportional frequency response to the event.
- 01:44:57These resources just flat out. Did they fail to
- 01:45:01meet their obligations? Is that correct?
- 01:45:04Failed to provide primary frequency response. Okay,
- 01:45:08thank you. Can I ask one other quick question?
- 01:45:12Sure. ERCOT, under the
- 01:45:16implementation of NPRR1186 and under the business Practices manual,
- 01:45:19ERCOT has now taken the approach where they will not give
- 01:45:23a SCED dispatch for energy if that will undermine
- 01:45:28the state of charge for the resource to provide ancillary services.
- 01:45:32In these instances, are you seeing that there was a SCED dispatch,
- 01:45:36that order that was given, that led to the low
- 01:45:40state of charge, or is there any
- 01:45:43indication as to a relationship there? So,
- 01:45:47primary frequency response is not a sched dispatch, it's an
- 01:45:50automatic governor response. So anytime we are
- 01:45:54outside of the dead band, we still expect a response.
- 01:46:01So, again, just to be clear, it's not an instruction that you're
- 01:46:04given, it's your systems should be reading frequency and providing
- 01:46:09PFR when we're outside of the dead band,
- 01:46:12automatic. Okay. No, I appreciate that. And I guess the question is, is if
- 01:46:16the state of charge was low, was that due to a prior
- 01:46:19sched dispatch?
- 01:46:25Maybe. Maybe. Sure.
- 01:46:28Yeah. Okay, cool. Thanks.
- 01:46:37So, Luis, I see a clear cue just
- 01:46:42to respond. Back to your points earlier, I was of the same mind for this
- 01:46:45report. I think there was some interest at
- 01:46:48TAC and having this regularly available,
- 01:46:52and I think WMS seems like a good place
- 01:46:55for that. I also think it falling in line with some of the standing
- 01:46:59reports that are already out there. The RUC report and the market update.
- 01:47:03Just. And this is probably something I'm failing
- 01:47:07at. I need to create an agenda item for opening
- 01:47:11up the question to the group of, are there any questions on these reports?
- 01:47:14But that can be the approach that we take going forward.
- 01:47:18If others agree with me as well.
- 01:47:22And I see Ian jumped in the queue. Ian, you want to go ahead?
- 01:47:26Thanks. Can you hear me, Blake? Yes,
- 01:47:28sir. Thank you. So, two things.
- 01:47:32First, I agree with you completely on having this on
- 01:47:35the agenda for a questions only point.
- 01:47:40The second thing is,
- 01:47:44Michael, as you work with your clients and ERCOT on
- 01:47:47this, it may be important to understand, and if
- 01:47:50the. If below a certain point
- 01:47:54of charge, we should not, if batteries are not
- 01:47:58able to provide PFR, I don't think that's something
- 01:48:02that we contemplated at all, and I think that would be something very
- 01:48:05important for this grid to understand. So just would really appreciate,
- 01:48:09in your conversations with your clients and ERCOT,
- 01:48:13if that could be discussed. Thank you.
- 01:48:23Go ahead, Michael. No, thank you. I just wanted to be recognized.
- 01:48:26Sorry, Ian, thank you so much. I'll follow up on that.
- 01:48:29That's a good, good line of inquiry.
- 01:48:34Thanks. And just for clarity on why
- 01:48:37I'm thinking this could be important. As we increase
- 01:48:41battery penetration, we may need to take into account
- 01:48:45the aggregate state of charge of batteries in our ancillary service
- 01:48:50procurement concepts, because if,
- 01:48:54you know, if under a certain amount, they cannot provide
- 01:48:58PFR, that's something we need to understand and probably compensate for.
- 01:49:02Nas, Blake, thank you
- 01:49:06very much for indulging me.
- 01:49:09Can I provide one insight here or.
- 01:49:14Absolutely, yeah.
- 01:49:16So, Ian, you kind of jogged my mind here, and kind of the topics
- 01:49:20was here with Michael. So there is a standard
- 01:49:26revision that's out there for the Val tre specifically
- 01:49:30to better understand the
- 01:49:33calculations needed for batteries. And if there is this, you know,
- 01:49:37as you mentioned, something related to state of charge that is
- 01:49:41different than the way we evaluate, you know, the way the standards written
- 01:49:44today. So one thing I would suggest is there,
- 01:49:47it's out there. The comment period, I believe, is closed now, but there
- 01:49:52is a SAR out there, and we're likely going to be looking for some experts
- 01:49:56in battery response to help drive
- 01:50:00a lot of how that discussion ends up. So one
- 01:50:04thing I just want to mention there, the SAR is out there, and we're looking for
- 01:50:07specific changes to how the batteries are evaluated.
- 01:50:11Awesome. Thank you. Sure.
- 01:50:19That's good insight. I see a clear queue.
- 01:50:23And Luis, I believe you've went through your whole deck, correct?
- 01:50:26Yes. All right. I think we're good to wrap
- 01:50:30this agenda item up. And that brings us to
- Item 10 - Other Business - Blake Holt01:50:35the end of our agenda. Other business. You all
- 01:50:39may remember that we had an extensive card discussion at
- 01:50:43the last WMS that was referred to this month's meeting.
- 01:50:47We're going to push that discussion to next month.
- 01:50:51The IMM is running some analysis that will better inform
- 01:50:55that discussion, so we're going to give time for that. However,
- 01:50:59I do think there is time to make additional suggestions
- 01:51:03if there are some out there, but I'd like to
- 01:51:07request in order for the group to be prepared for the discussion in
- 01:51:11September, that you post your material early or reach out
- 01:51:15to Ryan King at ERCOT with any additional suggestions.
- 01:51:19Also, feel free to reach out to myself or Amanda,
- 01:51:22and we'll include those in the agenda next time.
- 01:51:26And I wanted to pause here and see if anyone had any
- 01:51:30high level thoughts on that process for next month.
- Item 11 - Adjourn - Blake Holt01:51:41All right. Hearing nothing, I think we are good to adjourn
- 01:51:45today and hope
- 01:51:49you all have a wonderful long weekend, and we'll see you all again
- 01:51:52next month.
- 01:51:56Thank you, Blake. Appreciate it, Bill.
- 01:51:58Appreciate it, Amanda. And thanks, thanks to Brittany as well, for jumping
- 01:52:03around. Appreciate your help. Have a good one.
- 01:52:07You too.
July-2024-wmwg-gredp-summary
Aug 12, 2024 - pptx - 116.9 KB
Monthly Review of RUC Market Impacts - July 2024
Aug 20, 2024 - pptx - 576.7 KB
Market Update July 2024 WMWG
Aug 20, 2024 - pptx - 83.5 KB
AS Provision and Performance SOC Report July
Aug 28, 2024 - pptx - 868.4 KB
2025 AS Methodology Aug WMWG
Aug 28, 2024 - zip - 3.2 MB
1 - Antitrust Admonition - Blake Holt
Starts at 00:00:39
4 - Pricing Impacts of LDL Override Decisions made during 4/8 Eclipse - Cory Carswel
Starts at 00:01:13
5 - NPRR1230 Methodology for Setting Transmission Shadow Price Caps for an IROL in SCED - Monitoring - Blake Holt
Starts at 00:01:49
6 - NPRR1235 Dispatchable Reliability Reserve Service - Next Steps - Ryan King
Starts at 00:04:43
7 - NPRR1229 RTM CMP Energy Payment - Policy Questions - Ino Gonzalez
Starts at 00:31:59
8 - NPRR1238 Voluntary Registration of Loads with Curtailable Load Capabilities - ORDC Implications - Katie Rich
Starts at 00:47:34
9 - NPRR1241 FFSS Availability and Hourly Standby Fee – Initial Discussion - Katie Rich
Starts at 01:02:58
2 - 2025 AS Methodology - Luis Hinojosa
Starts at 01:14:01
3 - State of Charge Monitoring - Luis Hinojosa
Starts at 01:38:24
10 - Other Business - Blake Holt
Starts at 01:50:35
11 - Adjourn - Blake Holt
Starts at 01:51:41